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Cesare-risk: An Aid For Performance-based Fire Design-some Preliminary Results

Beck, V.R. and Zhao, L., 2000. Cesare-risk: An Aid For Performance-based Fire Design-some Preliminary Results. Fire Safety Science 6: 159-170. doi:10.3801/IAFSS.FSS.6-159


A risk assessment model termed CESARE-RISK is being developed. The model can be used to quantify the performance of a building fire safety design system in terms of two parameters; namely a risk to life safety parameter and an economic parameter. Accordingly, it is possible to identify alternative cost-effective fire safety system design solutions. Preliminary results have been obtained for a three-storey apartment building. The results were compared with fire statistics. It was found that in comparative terms, the model predictions agree well with statistical data, whereas in absolute terms the predicted results are higher.


risk assessment, fire safety design solution, fire growth, smoke spread, human response and evacuation

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